Good news amidst persistently high incidence of Covid-19: the effective reproduction number R dropped to 1.04 (+-0.02) in Georgia even before new lockdown measures were introduced last week. This bodes well for the effectiveness of the current interventions.
According to these estimates, in the second half of November the average Covid-19 infected person in Georgia transmitted the virus to 1.04 people. Regional estimates vary between 0.90 (+-0.06) in Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti and 1.22 (+-0.09) in Kakheti. This is significantly down from around 1.3 nationally, and from over 1.5 in many regions, in the first half of October.
Continue reading “R was 1.04 in Georgia before the lockdown”